Pixie Dust — Your edge, enchanted

Scanners

Three markets.
One engine.

Purpose-built scanners analyze real-time data feeds for statistical mispricings across prediction market categories.

🌡️

Weather

Compares NWS forecast distributions against Kalshi contract prices for 20+ cities. Temperature, precipitation, wind speed, snowfall.

NOAA + NWS feeds

🏛️

Political

Monitors Congressional activity, SCOTUS decisions, and Cabinet markets. Sentiment-scored social signals feed into probability models.

Real-time sentiment

⚾

MLB

Pitcher matchups, bullpen fatigue, park factors, and lineup data synthesized into game outcome probabilities. Updated through first pitch.

Live game data

Dashboard

Everything at a glance

Real-time portfolio tracking, signal history, and scanner status in a native desktop app.

✨ Pixie Dust — Your edge, enchanted

$79.08

Balance

+$12.40

Today's P&L

Trades Today

76%

Win Rate

08:31:02 [weather] Scanning 22 cities...

08:31:03 SIGNAL KXTEMP-26FEB >68°F YES @ 34¢ — edge 14.2%

08:31:03 TRADE BUY 3x KXTEMP-26FEB @ 34¢ — Kelly: 3 contracts

08:31:04 FILLED Order confirmed — cost $1.02

08:31:15 [weather] KXWIND-26FEB below min edge (4.1%)

08:32:00 [political] Scanning SCOTUS, Congress markets...

08:32:01 SKIP No fresh posts — sentiment stale

08:33:00 [mlb] Scanning today's slate (6 games)...

08:33:02 SIGNAL MLB-NYY-BOS YES @ 42¢ — edge 11.8%

08:33:02 TRADE BUY 2x MLB-NYY-BOS @ 42¢ — Kelly: 2 contracts

08:33:03 FILLED Order confirmed — cost $0.84

How It Works

Scan. Signal. Trade.

From data ingestion to order execution in milliseconds, fully automated.

Scan

Scanners pull live data from government APIs, news feeds, and sports databases on a continuous loop.

Signal

When a scanner detects a statistical edge above your configured threshold, it emits a trade signal with confidence and sizing data.

Trade

Signals pass through Kelly criterion sizing and risk guardrails, then execute on Kalshi automatically. Or flag for manual approval.

Architecture

Desktop-native.
Rust-powered.

No cloud dependency. Your keys stay on your machine. The engine runs locally for maximum speed and privacy.

⚡

Sub-second execution

Signal generation to order placement in under 50ms. Native speed, no browser overhead.

🔒

Keys never leave your machine

PEM-based authentication. Private keys stored locally, never transmitted to any server.

🧮

Kelly criterion sizing

Fractional Kelly with configurable fraction, daily stop loss, and per-category price bands.

📊

Real-time dashboard

Live P&L, position tracking, signal history, and scanner status from a Tauri-powered desktop app.

✨ Pixie Dust Desktop — Tauri + React

▼ WebSocket

⚙️ Rust Engine — Scanners + Risk + Executor

▼ REST / Auth

📡 Kalshi API — Markets + Orders

│

🌤 NWS API

🏛 Supabase

⚾ MLB Stats

Risk Management

Guard rails that keep you safe

Every trade passes through multiple risk checks before execution. Configurable limits you control.

🛑

Daily Stop Loss

Engine halts all trading when daily P&L hits your configured loss limit

📏

Position Limits

Maximum contracts per trade and concurrent open position caps

🎯

Edge Threshold

Minimum statistical edge required before any signal is generated

💰

Balance Floor

Trading pauses automatically when account balance drops below your minimum

Pricing

Pick your edge

Start free. Upgrade when you're ready for more scanners and higher limits.

Monthly

Annual Save 20%

Starter

Get Your Feet Wet

Weather scanner with basic risk controls. Perfect for learning the ropes.

$29 /mo

Billed annually at $276/yr

Weather scanner (20+ cities)
Kelly criterion sizing
Basic risk guardrails
Real-time dashboard
$100/day exposure cap
Political & MLB scanners

Get Started

Full Arsenal

All 3 scanners, advanced risk controls, and higher exposure limits.

$79 /mo

Billed annually at $756/yr

All 3 scanners — weather, political, MLB
Advanced Kelly + risk controls
$500/day exposure cap
Priority signal processing
Trade history export
Email alerts & notifications

Get Started

Enterprise

No Limits

Unlimited everything, custom strategies, API access, and dedicated support.

$199 /mo

Billed annually at $1,908/yr

Everything in Pro
Unlimited exposure caps
Custom scanner strategies
REST API access
White-glove onboarding
Dedicated Slack support

Contact Sales

FAQ

Common questions

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange where you can trade on the outcomes of real-world events — weather, politics, sports, economics, and more. Contracts pay out $1 if the event occurs and $0 if it doesn't.

Yes. When configured with your Kalshi API keys and set to auto-trade mode, Pixie Dust will place real orders on your behalf. You can also run in approval mode where every trade requires your manual confirmation before execution.

Each scanner uses domain-specific data sources. The weather scanner compares NWS probability distributions against market prices. The political scanner scores social sentiment against implied odds. The MLB scanner uses pitcher stats, park factors, and lineup data to build game models. When the model probability diverges from the market price by more than your minimum edge, a signal is emitted.

The Rust engine runs independently of the desktop UI. Once started, it scans and trades on a scheduled loop. The Tauri desktop app is a dashboard for monitoring — you can close it and the engine continues running in the background.

The Kelly criterion is a formula for optimal position sizing based on your edge and the odds. It tells you what fraction of your bankroll to wager to maximize long-term growth while avoiding ruin. Pixie Dust uses a fractional Kelly (configurable, default 12%) for more conservative sizing.

No. Pixie Dust runs entirely on your machine. Your API keys, trade history, and configuration are stored in a local SQLite database. The only external connections are to Kalshi's API (for trading), NWS (for weather data), your Supabase instance (for political data), and MLB APIs (for sports data).

Three markets.One engine.